“Seriously, I’m not trying to be rude”
You’re not trying very hard. You’re also not trying very hard to read my posts.
1 in 12 men in United States colleges admitted, in an anonymous study, that they had committed acts which met the legal definition of rape. This number is not made up and it is not the result of bad math. It is the result of Dr. Mary Koss’s 1986 study of sexual victimization on college campuses for the National Institute of Mental Health. If you would like to find out more about the study and its findings, you can find it in Koss’s most famous article on the study findings, “Hidden rape: sexual aggression and victimization in a national sample of students in higher education” (1988), which can be found in Rape and Sexual Assault II, ed. Ann Wolbert Burgess, New York: Garland, 3-25, or in popular reports such as Robin Warshaw’s I Never Called it Rape (1994) HarperPerennial, New York. The latter book summarizes the study findings and includes an appendix by Dr. Koss on the methodology of the survey. Note that more recent studies have found similar results to Koss’s.
The statement that I made, which you have so far failed to understand, is that the probability that at least one man in a group of 12 men has committed an act legally meeting the definition of rape is about 65%. This is not hard to calculate if you know a little bit about probability (specifically that P(A&B) = P(A)P(B|A), and that P(~A) = 1-P(A)). If we take it that the 1 in 12 figure is representative of the population as a whole, then the probability that a man selected at random has committed rape is 1/12 (about 0.08). The probability that he has not is 11/12 (about 0.92). If you pick out two men at random and put them in a room together, then the probability that neither of them have committed rape is (11/12)(11/12), which is about 0.84. If you pick out 12 men and put them in a room together, the probability that none of those men have committed rape is (11/12)12, which is about 0.35.
Which is to say, if you see 12 or more men in a day, the chances are that you have encountered a rapist. (If it’s 12, the chances are about 1 – 0.35, or about 65%. If it’s more, the odds are even worse.)
The point of all this is that there are a hell of a lot of men out there who have already committed rape. You encounter them every day. I know a few of them by name, unfortunately, and I know that there are many more out there that I don’t know of. I’m not the only one in this position. You are too, and so is most everyone else. And if women are pissed off about the fact that rape is prevalent and that so many men do it and if women are worried about it and make it a significant political priority, it’s not because women are paranoid or weird; it’s because they know what the hell is going on around them.